Breeders Cup 2011 is finally here, I thought I would give you my two cents to see if it helps at all!
Friday
Race 5- Secret Circle is the real deal and can be singled in pk 4 and pk 6. I think she would have been in JUV Filly if she had more time, she really has no competition!
Jake mo, Seeker, Trinniberg, and Vexor behind.
Race 6- Wide open event so take a price, lightly raced horses, so any runner can have a 10 length improvement from last start. I don't like the Euros in here.
Pure Gossip- Very talented out of a Dixieland Band mare
Dayatthespa- 12-1 with Dominguez.
Somali Lemonade- Closer and Solis fits her style perfect
My Gi Gi- Major Turf breeding especially on the bottom
Stopshoppingmaria- G I placed, first time turf
Stephanie's Kitten- G I winner Johnnie V 12-1
Sweet Cat- length and half behind Somali Lemonade, 10-1
Ann of the Dance- 30-1 first time turf by English Channel
Race 7- Looks like a two horse race
Turbulent Descent - one fast horse who glides across the track, 3 yr facing older
Switch- Game as they come, second (combined one length) to Blind Luck, Zenyatta and Havre de Grace
Tar Heel Mom, Her Smile, Pomeroys Pistol and Tanda underneath
Race 8- Juvenile's again, so improvement hard to predict and 2 yr hard to predict
Miss Netta- Street Sense baby needed a start going long now primed for best
Grace Hall- UNDEFEATED and retains Dominguez
My Miss Aurelia- UNDEFEATED half million Keenland SEPT purchase
Questing- John Gosden a top trainer who can get a price in USA!
Candrea- Too much speed for her to go wire to wire, but if she can stalk, she can be dangerous.
Race 9- Looks like Stacelita is winner on paper, but that's why we run the races
Stacelita- Two impressive performances in last two makes her scary good right now
Narain- UNDEFEATED Darley horse and lightly raced with Frankie Dettori looks like any kind
Announce- Juddmonte horse, nose away from beating Narain, will have a good price too
Cambina- 3 year old can pack a punch with Gomez at 30-1 !!
Aruna- 1st or 2nd in all US starts
Harmonious- Classy horse at 30-1, hard to pass on
Misty for Me- Lightly raced longshot for A O'Brien
Race 10- Ladies Classic (Is Ask the Moon going to run?) Royal Delta VS Plum Pretty
Royal Delta- Grinder is going to take down Ladies Classic this year
Plum Pretty- If Ask the Moon scratches then will Plum Pretty get an easy early lead ?
It's Tricky- Filly with a fiery personality but has tons of talent
Miss Match- 6 yr who ran against boys in last two (Outsider)
SATURDAY
Marathon Race 3-Don't forget!!!! one mile and six furlongs
A.U Miner- CLASS of the field.
Cease- Only six career starts, but is bred to run all day.
Meeznah- Breeding screams distance 12-1
Giant Oak- Classy horse but only 1-7 at CD
JUVTURF Race 4- Wide open event (Help Me ?)
Animal Spirits- My top pick with Robby Albarado at a price
Coalport- Second to Animal Spirits in 3rd career start
Fantastic Song- Beat Animal Spirits by a nose in Maiden win
Shkaspeare Shaliyah- Just beat Fantastic Song in GIII Pilgrim
Majestic City- coming out of two second place finishes in GI's
Finale- Pletcher horse looking for 4 in a row
Lucky Chappy- Rosario will come flying late on the outside
State of Play- UNDEFEATED in two starts (ALL theses horse looks same on paper)
Excaper, Wrote and Gung Ho horses with great prices i would add underneath or in pk 3 for a price
Sprint Race5- Speed horse or Closer? really need to envision pace scenario in this one
Giant Ryan- My top pick looking to steal the Money for Money Mags. Speed of the Speed
Jackson Bend- Will be flying late and might just MOW them all down on the far outside!
Amazombie- Might just get perfect trip at a great price for Mike Smith, especially if pace melts down
Force Freeze- Two sharp USA starts, only a nose behind Giant Ryan in major prep race the VOSBURGH
TURF SPRINT Race 6- Wide open, i bet you can trow a blanket over five horses at finish
Caracortado- Will be flying like a speeding bullet down the far outside lane, but will it be too late?
Hoofit- UNDEFEATED in USA, figures in weak race compared to last year.
Broken Dreams- Gomez will have to be find room in the lane, in this 5 furlong dash to wire
DIRT MILE Race 7- To Honor and Serve and Uncle Mo's departure makes Trappe Shot the horse
Trappe Shot- Perfect Distance and set up especially being a one turn mile which is right up his alley.
Shack Daddy- Will love one turn mile and looked sharp as nails in Equisight Video early this week at CD
The Factor- Speedball won't take this field wire to wire unless they're literally walking the first half mile
Wilburn and Tapizar both lightly raced and trained by Steve Amussen. These two have tons of talent and should be heard from in next years BC Cup
TURF Race 8- Europeans always win this race.
Sea Moon- 3 yr with 5 lifetime outs seems to have most upside and i always love the Juddmonte horses on the grass. Sea Moon must be a single on your ticket to get more coverage later.
Midday- Another Juddmonte horse who should have won this same race last year but was stuck down on the fence and couldn't find daylight.
Await the Dawn- Seems to me this horse will be overlooked because he was five lengths behind Midday last time out. Can turn the tables at nice price
St Nicholas Abbey- Euro coming out of Prix de Arch Triomphe at 9/2!
Juvenile Race 9- Creative Cause, Union Rags, and Hansen are the main players. People from the West are all over CC while East coast fans are thrilled and dazzled with Union Rags three performances.
Creative Cause- My favorite horse because of the presence this horse demands on the TV screen, I can only imagine what it's like in person. He looked like he could run forever in his first start going long, that's when the men separate them selves from the boys and i hope he makes it to KY on the 1st Sat in May.
Hansen- Two wins for a combined 25 lengths but how will the grey son of Tapit react to the Acid Test?
Union Rags- Looks to be a single for many people i have talked to! This UNDEFEATED Dixie Union Colt is going to be favored on Saturday.
Otimizer, Prospective, Take Charge Indy, Alpha, Dullahan and Daddy Long legs will be horses in superfecta and 1 of them can surprise top 3.
MILE Race 10- Goldi looking for four in a row, this race has so much on the line that the Committee moved it to the race before classic for the first time ever.
Goldi- Loves the USA racing and should roll right on by unless traffic is bad which is always the case in Mile
Gio Ponti - Taking another stab at Goldi instead of running in classic, could be his last ho-rah into the sunset
Courageous Cat- P Val will have this horse right there in deep stretch, Million dollar question, is rather CC hangs on for victory or ends up being swallowed late.
Get Stormy- Always right there going to be 20-1
Mr. Commons- 3 yr old with most room to improve, should be in superfecta at 30-1
BREEDERS CUP CLASSIC Race 11- Havre de grace is turning into a monster race horse- Team Equisight has been by her side from the time she arrived in KY and she looks to be really enjoying her job. Don't under estimate a sharp horse.
Havre De Grace- She will hit the board , so key wheeling her is the best idea
Uncle Mo- LOVES CD, HAS ONE AMAZING STRIDE. Horses like this don't come often
To Honor and Serve- 3 yr old looking to open up early in the stretch and make someone come and get him
Flatout- Sharp horse, great price and A. Solis a giant killer
Ruler on Ice- Gomez rides and should be right there at finish at 30-1
May the Money be with you All.
